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KIKUTA, Kyosuke

Field of Research

Political Science, International Relations, Conflict Studies

Research Topics

Theoretical and quantitative analysis about armed conflict

Overview of Research

Bargaining theory of conflict

In conventional accounts, we often hear “people in Hong Kong started protests because they are dissatisfied with the non-democratic government” or “Russia invaded Ukraine because Putin wanted Crimea.” Bargaining theory of conflict, which has been developed for the last decades, suggest these accounts are naively imperfect and potentially misleading, as they lack strategic thinking. That is, without understanding how a governor or government will react to people’s dissatisfaction or enemy’s geo-political ambition and why they fail to resolve those problems peacefully, we cannot fully understand the causes of the conflict. In a research project, I conduct one of the first extensions of the bargaining theory to electoral politics, especially focusing on the effect of electoral participation on protests in India.

Causal inference

When can we say X causes Y? For instance, if massive deforestation follows the onset of a civil war, can we say the civil war caused the deforestation? No necessarily. Indeed, it is still possible that if it were not for the war, the country might have experienced economic growth, resulting in higher demands for timber and hence even worse deforestation. Then, rather counterintuitively, the war might have actually protected forests from human influences. In a project, I address this problem by applying a statistical method―so-called synthetic control―to the case of the “Great War of Africa” and resultant deforestation in Congo.

 

GIS data

The recent development of the Geospatial Information System (GIS) allows us to access a huge amount of data on various topics. How can we use those data and techniques for better understandings on conflict? In a project, I combine the GIS data of armed conflict with a machine learning technique to map the “zones” of armed conflict. The new map allows us to easily locate the places of armed conflict with a potential application to, say, travel advisory.

To prospective students

Thank you for your interest in my research! I hope you will come to the OSIPP and discover how “fun” political science is. If you are willing to apply for the graduate or pre-doc program and have me as a supervisor, please email me a paper (English; A4 size; double spaced; one or two pages) with your reactions to the following article;

Mearsheimer, John J., and Stephen M. Walt. 2013. “Leaving Theory behind: Why Simplistic Hypothesis Testing Is Bad for International Relations.” European Journal of International Relations 19 (3): 427–57.

If you have completed any course about data science or game theory, please also tell me the names of the courses and your grades. Again, thank you so much for your interest!

KIKUTA, Kyosuke 
Associate Professor
Degree: Ph.D. in Political Science (The University of Texas at Austin)
kikuta@osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp

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OSIPP Faculty

AKAI, Nobuo

Professor
Public Economics
Hasao-sensei-OSIPP-Osaka-University

HASUO, Ikuyo 

Professor
Global Governance, International Public Administration

HAWKINS, Virgil

Professor
International Politics, Media Studies

HOSHINO, Toshiya

Professor
International Politics, United Nations Studies

ISHISE, Hirokazu

Associate Professor
Macroeconomics, International Economics

KAMADA, Takuma

Associate Professor
Criminology, Urban Sociology, Social Inequality
Kawamura-professor-OSIPP-Osaka-University

KAWAMURA, Michiya

Associate Professor
Multiculturalism, Liberalism, Migration

KIDO, Eiichi

Professor
Contemporary German Politics, Peace Studies

KIKUTA, Kyosuke

Associate Professor
Political Science, International Relations, Conflict Studies

KITAMURA, Shuhei

Associate Professor
Economic Development, Political Economy, Experimental Economics

KOHARA, Miki

Professor
Labor Economics, Applied Econometrics

MATSUBAYASHI, Tetsuya

Professor
Political Science, Political Economics, Social Epidemiology

MATSUNO, Akihisa

Professor
International Politics, Conflict Studies

MATSUSHIGE, Hisakazu

Professor
Labor Economics, Economics of Education, Human Resource Management

MAYAMA, Akira

Professor
International Law

MINAMI, Kazushi

Associate Professor
Modern East Asia, U.S. Foreign Relations, International History

MURAKAMI, Masanao

Professor
International Law

MUROOKA, Takeshi

Associate Professor
Psychology and Economics, Industrial Organization, Microeconomic Theory

NISUGI, Kento

Associate Professor
International Law

NAKAJIMA, Hiroo

Professor
History of American Foreign Relations, International History

OKUBO, Kunihiko

Professor
Civil Law

OTSUKI, Tsunehiro

Professor
Development Economics

SAIRENJI, Takayuki

Associate Professor
EU Law

SAITA, Yumi

Assistant Professor
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SUNAGA, Miho

Assistant Professor

Macro Economics
takahashi

TAKAHASHI, Hidenori

Associate Professor

Empirical Industrial Organization

TAKII, Katsuya

Professor
Economics of Human Resource Allocation, Economics of Human Capital and Organization, Search and Matching Theory

WANI, Kentaro

Associate Professor
International Law

YAMADA, Yasuhiro

Professor
Contemporary History of U.S. Foreign Relations
OSIPP-Yamauchi-sensei-OU

YAMAUCHI, Naoto

Professor
Public Economics, Policy Evaluation, Empirical Studies on Education, Health, International Cooperation and Social Capital
Assistant-professor-Jiachen-Yang-OSIPP

YANG, Jiachen

Assistant Professor
Software Engineering

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